Coinbase Entry Fuels $12B January Milestone for Prediction Markets
TL;DR Prediction markets surpassed $12 billion in volume in January, their highest monthly figure on record, according to data from Wu Blockchain. Kalshi, Polymarket, Opinion, and
Prediction Market (Latest Publications)
Kalshi’s Fed Bet Accuracy Rivals Wall Street, According to Fresh Research
TL;DR An academic study compared Kalshi’s prediction markets with Wall Street forecasts and official surveys, using data from 2022 through June 2024. The platform’s implied probabilities
Crypto Traders Quietly Pull Back From Prediction Markets
TL;DR: “Maker” activity on Polymarket fell from 45,000 to approximately 20,000 active wallets. The pullback even affects Bitcoin markets, which recorded a sharp decline in participation.
Regulators in Portugal Order Polymarket to Halt Services Over Election‑Betting Boom
Polymarket received an order from the Portuguese regulator SRIJ to cease operations in the country within 48 hours. The measure came after a surge in betting
Goldman Sachs Devotes Growing Focus to Crypto and Prediction Markets, CEO Says
TLDR David Solomon confirms high-level meetings with regulated prediction platforms. The bank is focusing its efforts on asset tokenization and the use of stablecoins. Regulation under
Tennessee Cracks Down on Prediction Markets, Ordering Polymarket, Kalshi and Crypto.com to Halt Sports Contracts
TLDR: The Tennessee Sports Wagering Council issued cease-and-desist letters to Polymarket, Kalshi, and Crypto.com. Kalshi has responded with a federal lawsuit against the state, alleging a
Lawmakers Targeted: New Bill Could Block Politicians from Prediction Markets
This Friday, Representative Ritchie Torres (D-NY) and 30 other lawmakers, including former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, introduced the “Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets Act of
Bitnomial Gains U.S. Regulatory Approval, Signaling Growth for Prediction Markets
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has issued a “no-action letter” authorizing the launch of Bitnomial prediction markets. The regulatory body indicated that this approval allows
Traders Lose Conviction on January Bitcoin Rally, Prediction Data Reveals
TLDR The probability of Bitcoin reaching new all-time highs this month has dropped drastically on platforms like Polymarket. Traders are showing a “loss of conviction” following
U.S. Lawmaker Targets Government Insider Trading in Prediction Markets
TLDR Digital finance in the United States is facing a structural regulatory shift. This Tuesday, Congressman Ritchie Torres introduced the “2026 Financial Forecasting Market Public Integrity
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