Prediction Markets Hit $63.5B in 2025 Growth Spurt, CertiK Cautions on Stability
TL;DR: The latest report from security firm CertiK reveals that prediction markets in 2025 recorded an annual volume of $63.5 billion, a figure that represents a
Prediction Market (Latest Publications)
Prediction Markets Hit Record $1 Billion Open Interest
TL;DR: Global open interest on these platforms hit an all-time high of $1.066 billion. Polymarket leads in category diversity, while Kalshi dominates sports betting volume. Exponential
Prediction Traders Bet Bitcoin Will Drop Below $65,000
This Wednesday, prediction markets—including Polymarket—issued a pessimistic Bitcoin price forecast, asserting an 82% probability that the asset will fall below $65,000 this year. Marex analyst Ilan
Nevada Targets Coinbase With Legal Action Over Alleged Unlicensed Betting
The Nevada Gaming Control Board initiated a civil action against Coinbase Financial Markets for offering betting on sporting events without the required state licenses. The lawsuit
Coinbase Entry Fuels $12B January Milestone for Prediction Markets
TL;DR Prediction markets surpassed $12 billion in volume in January, their highest monthly figure on record, according to data from Wu Blockchain. Kalshi, Polymarket, Opinion, and
Kalshi’s Fed Bet Accuracy Rivals Wall Street, According to Fresh Research
TL;DR An academic study compared Kalshi’s prediction markets with Wall Street forecasts and official surveys, using data from 2022 through June 2024. The platform’s implied probabilities
Crypto Traders Quietly Pull Back From Prediction Markets
TL;DR: “Maker” activity on Polymarket fell from 45,000 to approximately 20,000 active wallets. The pullback even affects Bitcoin markets, which recorded a sharp decline in participation.
Regulators in Portugal Order Polymarket to Halt Services Over Election‑Betting Boom
Polymarket received an order from the Portuguese regulator SRIJ to cease operations in the country within 48 hours. The measure came after a surge in betting
Goldman Sachs Devotes Growing Focus to Crypto and Prediction Markets, CEO Says
TLDR David Solomon confirms high-level meetings with regulated prediction platforms. The bank is focusing its efforts on asset tokenization and the use of stablecoins. Regulation under
Tennessee Cracks Down on Prediction Markets, Ordering Polymarket, Kalshi and Crypto.com to Halt Sports Contracts
TLDR: The Tennessee Sports Wagering Council issued cease-and-desist letters to Polymarket, Kalshi, and Crypto.com. Kalshi has responded with a federal lawsuit against the state, alleging a
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