66% Probability Trump Extends Key Hormuz Deadline, Polymarket Says
8 PM ET today is the deadline set by President Donald Trump for Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, a vital artery for the global
Polymarket (Latest Publications)
Polymarket Becomes Top DeFi Fee Generator After Pricing Overhaul
TL;DR Fee Momentum: Polymarket generated $7.1 million in early Q2 fees and reached a projected $365 million annualized run rate, securing 96.8% of onchain prediction market
Prediction Markets Surge: Polymarket and Kalshi Drive $25.7B Volume in a Single Month
TL;DR: Monthly records: March 2026 closed as the second month with the highest historical volume, reaching $25.7 billion in notional trades. Shared leadership: Kalshi led the
Major Polymarket Overhaul Begins, Introducing Rebuilt Trading Stack and Fresh Collateral Token
Polymarket announced the largest technical infrastructure upgrade since its launch, with changes spanning smart contracts, order book, and collateral token. The process will unfold over the next two to three
Polymarket Traders Show Little Confidence in a US‑Iran Ceasefire Deal
TL;DR: Polymarket’s prediction markets show only a 4% probability of a ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran before April 7. According to Axios, the U.S., Iran,
Polymarket Integrates Pyth Pro to Deliver Real‑Time Pricing for Traditional Asset Markets
TL;DR: Polymarket integrated Pyth Pro as a real-time data source for its new traditional asset markets, including gold, silver, and stock indices. Pyth Pro sources prices
Polygon Introduces Private Mempool Delivering One‑Line MEV Protection
TL;DR MEV Protection: The network’s Private Mempool shields transactions from frontrunning by routing them directly to producers, preventing bots from viewing pending activity. Enterprise Integration: Teams
Polymarket Fees Break $1M After March 30 Overhaul, Revenue Nears $1M Peak
TL;DR: Polymarket’s March 30 fee expansion pushed daily fees from $363,000 on Monday to over $1 million by Wednesday and Thursday, improving monetization. Daily revenue reached
Markets Bet Against Ethereum: 60% Chance It Drops From #2 in 2026
TL;DR: The Polymarket platform estimates a 60% probability that Ethereum will be displaced from its historical market capitalization ranking during the 2026 annual period. With a
Polymarket Trader Scores $67K after UFC Mix-up
A Polymarket trader turned $676 into $67,574 after a UFC result was announced incorrectly and then corrected, according to an X post by Verrissimus. The post
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