The U.S. SEC is on the brink of a decision that could revolutionize the cryptocurrency market. A short window has opened, starting from November 9, during which the SEC could potentially approve all 12 pending Bitcoin ETFs applications. This includes the application from Grayscale Investments to convert its Bitcoin Trust product (GBTC) into a spot Bitcoin ETF.
New Research note from me today. We still believe 90% chance by Jan 10 for spot #Bitcoin ETF approvals. But if it comes earlier we are entering a window where a wave of approval orders for all the current applicants *COULD* occur pic.twitter.com/u6dBva1ytD
— James Seyffart (@JSeyff) November 8, 2023
Grayscale’s application has been under scrutiny following a court ruling in the company’s favor. The SEC had initially denied the application, but a U.S. federal court found the rejection to be “arbitrary and capricious” and ordered the SEC to reconsider. Since then, Grayscale has been in constructive discussions with the SEC, suggesting that the eventual approval of their ETF is likely.
What Scott said: There are TWO paths that need to be completed for an ETF launch. Even if 19b-4 is approved, S-1s still need sign off from division of Corp Fin. No sign that's done yet. Possible and even likely that there could be weeks or even months between approval & launch https://t.co/LZSdutmlT8 pic.twitter.com/7OLj5HjSDy
— James Seyffart (@JSeyff) November 8, 2023
Bitcoin ETFs Approval Could Spark a Massive Inflow
The approval of these ETFs could have significant implications for the crypto industry. It would mark a milestone that could ease everyday investors’ path into digital assets. Analysts predict that a spot Bitcoin ETF could generate significant inflows ranging from $50 billion to $100 billion over the next five years.
However, the approval of a rule change to allow ETF trading is different from approving a fund’s registration statement, and both must be authorized before any of the pending Bitcoin ETFs can begin trading. Therefore, while the introduction of a Bitcoin ETF is still months away, the recent price increase in Bitcoin indicates investors’ optimism.
Bitcoin price is experiencing a surge, fueled by rumors of the potential approval of all 12 Bitcoin ETFs. This speculation has sparked a wave of optimism among investors, driving up the value of the cryptocurrency. At the time of writing, BTC is trading at around $36,800, a 4% increase in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.
The SEC’s decision is eagerly awaited by the sector, and the outcome could dramatically alter the landscape of the cryptocurrency sector. As the world watches, the question remains: Will this be the breakthrough moment for Bitcoin ETFs? Only time will tell.
