The Bottleneck for Prediction Markets? It’s All About Resolution Infrastructure
The idea that “resolution infrastructure” is the bottleneck for prediction markets is compelling and largely accurate, but it’s not the whole story. The core issue is
prediction markets (Latest Publications)
Kalshi Bans Athletes and Politicians From Trading on Its Platform
TL;DR: Kalshi will implement technical barriers to prevent athletes, coaches, and politicians from trading in markets linked to their own activities. Two U.S. senators introduced the
Kalshi Secures Over $1B in New Funding, Pushing Valuation to $22B
TL;DR: Kalshi raised over $1 billion in a round led by Coatue Management, reaching a valuation of $22 billion. This figure doubles the $11 billion valuation
CFTC Strikes First Sports Deal With MLB for Prediction Market Oversight
TL;DR: The CFTC signed a memorandum of understanding with MLB to share information and protect the integrity of sports prediction markets. Polymarket was named MLB’s exclusive
Prediction Platform Polymarket Buys Brahma in Bid to Upgrade User Experience
TL;DR: Polymarket acquired crypto payments startup Brahma for an undisclosed amount, according to a report by Fortune. The predictions platform aims to improve liquidity in niche
Prediction Markets Hit Scaling Limits With Resolution Infrastructure Becoming the Main Bottleneck
TL;DR: Prediction markets surpassed $13 billion in monthly volume by late 2025, up from less than $100 million in 2024. Outcome resolution became the main bottleneck
Polymarket Unveils Sports Integrity Platform Powered by Palantir and TWG AI’s Vergence Engine
TL;DR: Polymarket announced a partnership with Palantir Technologies and TWG AI to develop a next-generation sports integrity platform. The Vergence AI engine, created in 2024 by
Jupiter Taps Chainlink to Strengthen Data Integrity Across Its Prediction Market
TL;DR: Jupiter integrated Chainlink data feeds to power its new prediction markets platform on Solana. Chainlink’s oracle solution ensures contract outcomes are resolved with verifiable, manipulation-resistant
Prediction Markets See a 30% Chance of a U.S. Recession by the End of 2026
Rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East are beginning to reshape economic expectations, with prediction markets increasing the probability that the United States could face a
Predict.fun Acquires Probable After Hitting $1.5B Volume and 120K Users in 3 Months
TL;DR: Probable, the onchain prediction platform incubated by PancakeSwap and YZi Labs, was acquired by Predict.fun. Predict.fun has accumulated $1.5 billion in trading volume and more
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