Polymarket traders assign a 22% probability to Bitcoin reaching $150,000 before 2027. Most bets cluster around a more conservative range between $100,000 and $120,000, reflecting a cautious market stance despite bullish projections for 2026.
Based on current Polymarket data, the $120,000 level carries a 46% probability. Estimates decline as price targets rise: $130,000 stands at 36%, $140,000 drops to 28%, and $150,000 is priced at 22%.
Nearly 80% of traders expect Bitcoin to reach at least $100,000. This caution is tied to the weakening influence of the halving cycle and the losses recorded throughout 2025.
Analysts note that strategies such as options trading prioritize premium income and cap short-term upside. Even so, firms including Standard Chartered, Strategy, and Bernstein maintain $150,000 forecasts for 2026, while more aggressive projections place Bitcoin in ranges of up to $250,000.
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-before-2027?tid=1767282896215
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