TL;DR
- The crypto market is moving through a short, low-volume week after reclaiming a $3 trillion market capitalization, shaped by holidays, thinner liquidity, and a lack of strong catalysts.
- The absence of a late Sunday sell-off helped Bitcoin and the broader crypto sector hold recent price levels, highlighting the current fragile balance.
- US PCE inflation and GDP data will be critical this week, as a gradual slowdown would reinforce expectations of a less restrictive monetary policy.
The crypto market enters an atypical, shortened week with subdued trading activity, though several macroeconomic events still warrant attention. After regaining a total market capitalization of $3 trillion over the weekend, the market shifts into a technical pause driven by holidays, reduced liquidity, and the release of two key US economic reports.
The lack of a late Sunday pullback prevented a shift in market tone. Bitcoin and the rest of the market managed to hold their recent levels, an uncommon pattern in recent weeks. This behavior points to a fragile equilibrium: there are no strong catalysts, but there is also no immediate pressure to unwind positions.
Key Events This Week:
1. October PCE Inflation data – Monday
2. US Q3 2025 GDP data – Tuesday
3. December CB Consumer Confidence data – Tuesday
4. October New Home Sales data – Tuesday
5. October Durable Goods Orders data – Wednesday
6. Stock Market Closed, Merry Christmas!…
— The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) December 21, 2025
Key Events This Week
On Monday, the October PCE inflation index will be released, the indicator the Federal Reserve prioritizes alongside CPI. The data provides a direct view of prices and real consumer spending. While no major surprises are expected, the report will help confirm whether the inflation slowdown seen in CPI is extending to other components of consumption.
On Tuesday, the third-quarter GDP data will be published. Analysts project growth between 3% and 3.5%, down from 3.8% in the second quarter. The figure does not suggest an abrupt slowdown, but it does point to an economy losing some momentum. In a high-rate environment, any sign of moderation is key to reinforcing expectations of a less restrictive monetary policy heading into 2026.
That same day, new home sales data will also be released, followed by October durable goods orders on Wednesday. In addition, traditional financial markets will be closed on Thursday for Christmas, further limiting activity.
Crypto Market Overview
Total market capitalization stands at around $3.08 trillion, with little day-to-day change. Bitcoin reclaimed $89,000, within a range it has maintained for the past month. Ethereum moved back above the $3,000 level, though without signs of building sustained upward momentum. Altcoins show marginal and uneven movements, with slight gains in some assets and modest pullbacks in others.
The current setup does not point to spikes in volatility. Attention will remain on signals from central banks regarding the direction of monetary policy in 2026. The market is watching, adjusting positions, and waiting for clearer definitions
