The Kobeissi Letter said on January 4 that volatility is likely to remain the key theme, and outlined the macro events that could influence crypto markets during the week of January 5–9.
Key Events This Week:
1. Markets React to Venezuela Situation – Monday
2. December ISM Manufacturing PMI data- Tuesday
3. December ADP Nonfarm Employment data – Wednesday
4. November JOLTS Job Openings data – Wednesday
5. December Jobs Report – Friday
6. January MI Consumer…
— The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) January 4, 2026
The note flagged Venezuela-related developments on Monday as a potential catalyst. It also referenced a US military operation over the weekend and a Truth Social post from Donald Trump claiming Nicolás Maduro and his wife were captured. On the data calendar, Tuesday brings December ISM manufacturing; Wednesday includes December ADP private payrolls and November JOLTS job openings; and Friday delivers the December jobs report plus the University of Michigan consumer sentiment reading.
With the Federal Reserve having cut rates three times in 2025, the key watchpoint is whether labor data reinforces a cooling narrative that reshapes policy expectations, or whether geopolitics dominates risk pricing and drives the week’s flows.
Source: The Kobeissi Letter.
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