TL;DR:
- US spot Bitcoin ETFs drew $457 million Wednesday, their biggest day since mid-November, led by Fidelity’s $391 million and IBIT’s $111 million.
- Cumulative inflows topped $57 billion and assets rose above $112 billion, around 6.5% of Bitcoin’s market cap, underscoring ETF adoption.
- Trump said he will pick a new Fed chair favoring lower rates, but Bitcoin faces $93,000 to $120,000 supply and fragile demand, with support near $81,000 for now.
Bitcoin’s spot ETF complex in the U.S. just delivered its strongest intake in more than a month, signaling a renewed institutional bid despite messy price action. Net inflows hit $457 million on Wednesday as investors reprice exposure through regulated vehicles while interest-rate expectations shift. The move follows weeks of uneven activity and comes even as Bitcoin remains pinned below heavy overhead supply. For allocators, the signal is that macro positioning is moving first, with price expected to follow only after liquidity and risk appetite re-align. That gap is becoming the market’s defining tension into year-end.
ETF flows rebound as rate expectations shift
US spot Bitcoin ETFs collectively posted a broad-based inflow rebound across flagship funds. Fidelity’s Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund dominated the session, drawing about $391 million and accounting for most of Wednesday’s $457 million net total. BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust added roughly $111 million, based on figures from Farside Investors. With that burst, cumulative net inflows across US spot Bitcoin ETFs moved above $57 billion. Total net assets climbed past $112 billion, roughly 6.5% of Bitcoin’s total market capitalization. The scale underscores how ETFs have become the preferred on-ramp for institutions seeking operationally simple exposure today.
The revival followed weeks of stop-start flows that mirrored cautious risk management. Through November and early December, the ETF tape swung between modest inflows and sharp outflows, reflecting uncertain direction and tighter liquidity. The last day above $450 million was November 11, when funds pulled in about $524 million. On Wednesday, macro expectations shifted again after President Donald Trump said he will name a new Federal Reserve chair early next year, succeeding Jerome Powell, and that all known finalists favor lower rates. Lower rates typically support risk assets by easing financial conditions and improving liquidity.
Even with ETF demand, Bitcoin’s market structure still looks heavy and range-bound. Price has revisited levels last seen nearly a year ago, with a dense supply band from $93,000 to $120,000 capping recovery attempts. Glassnode estimates around 6.7 million BTC are held at a loss, the highest level of the current cycle, and flags fragile demand across spot and derivatives. Spot buying is described as selective and short-lived, corporate treasury flows episodic, and futures positioning de-risking. Analysts say support is forming near $81,000 unless sellers are absorbed above $95,000. Until then, ETFs remain the expression.
