TL;DR
- Weekend Pattern: Bitcoin gained on Sunday, bringing renewed attention to a recent trend where Sunday moves have often reversed direction on Monday.
- Technical Warning: TD Sequential sell signals appeared on BTC, Ethereum, and Solana, with previous signals historically followed by short-term corrections.
- Price Levels: BTC briefly moved above $87,000 before retreating, with resistance identified near $87,500 and support between $82,000 and $85,000.
A strong finish to the weekend has placed crypto traders on alert after analyst Ali Martinez highlighted a pattern that could point to weakness at the start of the new week. Bitcoin climbed more than 1% on Sunday, reviving attention on a recent trend in which weekend price moves have frequently reversed direction on Monday. For Bitcoin investors, the latest rally comes at a time when technical indicators are also showing signs that momentum could be fading.
SUNDAY PUMP = MONDAY DUMP
1/6 🧵👇
— Ali Charts (@alicharts) October 4, 2026
Sunday Rallies Have Often Reversed
Martinez pointed to a series of Sunday and Monday trading sessions between late August and late September that displayed a consistent pattern. In each of the five observed periods, the market moved in one direction on Sunday before shifting the opposite way on Monday. According to the data he shared, Bitcoin posted gains of 0.50% on August 29 and 0.66% on September 6, only to record Monday declines of 0.68% and 1.54%.
The opposite also occurred. Sunday losses of 0.57% on September 13 and 0.10% on September 20 were followed by Monday advances of 1.75% and 6.71%. The final example showed Bitcoin ending a Sunday session with a marginal 0.01% gain before slipping 1.12% the next day. Although the sample covers only five weeks, Martinez believes the recurring reversals are worth monitoring as a new trading week begins.
Technical Signals Add to Caution
Beyond the Sunday-Monday pattern, Martinez highlighted another warning sign from the TD Sequential indicator. The analyst noted that a recent sell signal appeared on Bitcoin charts, and previous comparable signals were followed by declines of 1.74%, 4.37%, 3.11%, and 1.96%. Martinez also noted that Bitcoin is not the only asset generating this signal. Similar readings have recently appeared on Ethereum and Solana. Historical examples shared by the analyst showed Ethereum falling 5.40% and 3.31% after comparable signals, while Solana previously recorded corrections of 2.44%, 5.76%, and 5.30%.
Key Price Levels Remain in Focus
Recent volatility has added another layer of uncertainty. Bitcoin surged above $87,000 following a weaker-than-expected U.S. jobs report before falling below $84,000. According to market commentary, Bitcoin faces important resistance near $87,500, while support is seen between $82,000 and $85,000. At the time of writing, Bitcoin traded around $86,000. The asset remained up nearly 4% over the past seven days and more than 8% over the last 30 days, though it was still roughly 31% below its yearly level and well below its all-time high above $126,000.
