Bitcoin Could Fall Toward $80K, But Arthur Hayes Assures It Is a Safe Zone

TL;DR

• Arthur Hayes, BitMEX co-founder, predicts Bitcoin may experience a short-term dip into the low $80Ks before stabilizing.
• Despite recent volatility, he believes $80,000 will hold due to improved dollar liquidity and shifting macro signals.
• Analysts highlight ETF inflows returning, retail selling easing, and Ethereum regaining key levels, suggesting gradual market stabilization rather than a brief technical bounce.

Bitcoin trades at $85,993.62, down 0.88% in the last 24 hours, as investors assess short-term pressure and potential support zones. Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, anticipates a possible move into the low $80Ks before the market finds firmer footing but maintains that $80,000 remains a key support level. Trading volumes have remained steady, signaling investor interest even amid minor fluctuations.

minor improvements in $ liq:
– fed qt stops dec 1, this wed will prob be last fall in b/s
– us banks increased lending in nov

we chop below $90k, maybe one more stab down into low $80k's but i think $80k holds. might start nibbling, but leave the bazooka until the new year

— Arthur Hayes (@CryptoHayes) November 24, 2025

Improved Liquidity May Support Bitcoin Stability

Hayes pointed to improving dollar liquidity as a factor that could help stabilize Bitcoin. He cited the U.S. Federal Reserve’s quantitative tightening ending December 1 and increased bank lending in November, which eases some pressure on risk assets. While he expects a potential dip into the low $80Ks, Hayes suggests current levels may offer a cautious buying opportunity, keeping larger deployments for later in the year. He also noted that derivatives markets have shown reduced stress, which may contribute to smoother price movement.

ETF Inflows Return, Retail Selling Cools

Market observers also note that Bitcoin’s recent price action signals early stabilization. Jamie Elkaleh, CMO at Bitget Wallet, highlighted returning ETF inflows, reduced retail selling pressure, and Ethereum regaining momentum. Historical seasonality makes November typically strong for Bitcoin, and easing retail capitulation may indicate local bottom formation. Analysts point out that institutional positioning across multiple exchanges has increased, providing additional structural support for the market.

Institutional activity adds further support. MicroStrategy continues accumulating BTC, and net inflows into BTC and ETH ETFs were recorded late last week following previous outflows, reinforcing market confidence. Several altcoins are also showing relative strength, which could complement Bitcoin’s short-term stability.

Ethereum Reclaims Momentum

Ethereum’s price recovery above $2,800 underscores improving sentiment. Elkaleh highlighted upcoming upgrades like Fusaka as factors boosting confidence in Ethereum’s long-term prospects across DeFi, scaling, and network infrastructure. While volatility remains likely, reduced retail selling and returning institutional inflows provide a foundation for a sustained recovery. Developers continue to advance network upgrades and layer-2 solutions, which may further support Ethereum’s market positioning.

Outlook: Stabilization Amid Volatility

Both Hayes and market analysts agree that Bitcoin may remain volatile into December. However, structural signals — improved liquidity, ETF inflows, and technical resets — indicate gradual stabilization, not just a brief rebound.