Bitcoin (BTC) Rebounds but Whales Stay Cautious: Will Big Players Enter the Market?

Bitcoin (BTC) Rebounds but Whales Stay Cautious: Will Big Players Enter the Market?
Table of Contents


  • Bitcoin’s Resurgence: Bitcoin (BTC) has recently rebounded, sparking optimism in the cryptocurrency market. Despite past downturns, it has recovered, prompting speculation about whether major investors will now enter the market.
  • Whale Movements: Blockchain analytics firm IntoTheBlock reports that large Bitcoin holders, known as ‘whales,’ have modestly increased their BTC holdings by 3,000 BTC ($198 million), which is less than previous larger inflows, indicating a cautious approach amidst market recovery.
  • Market Indicators: The lack of significant whale transactions during Bitcoin’s price recovery, combined with geopolitical tensions and a strong U.S. dollar, suggests that whales may expect a further price drop. Traders should monitor ETF-related fund movements for potential market trend signals.

Bitcoin (BTC) has shown a remarkable rebound, stirring the crypto market with a fresh wave of optimism. After a period of downturns, the leading cryptocurrency has managed to claw back, raising questions about the potential entry of big players into the market.

The blockchain analytics firm IntoTheBlock has reported through its “large holder netflow” metric that entities holding a minimum of 0.1% of Bitcoin’s (BTC) total circulating supply have increased their holdings by approximately 3,000 BTC, valued at around $198 million.

This increment is notably smaller compared to the substantial net inflow of nearly 80,000 BTC, worth approximately $5.3 billion, which occurred the day following the price drop of BTC below $61,000 on March 20. 

IntoTheBlock notes that these large-scale holders, often referred to as ‘whales,’ exhibit proficiency in market timing, frequently choosing optimal moments for either accumulation or distribution of their cryptocurrency holdings. 

Geopolitical Tensions and Bitcoin’s Value: A Correlation Analysis

Bitcoin (BTC) Rebounds but Whales Stay Cautious: Will Big Players Enter the Market?

Monitoring the flow of these large holders is therefore considered a valuable indicator, providing insight into the intentions and market expectations of significant traders, as well as the potential durability of the current market trend.

The absence of significant transactions from ‘whales’ during the market’s recovery phase suggests that these entities may anticipate a further decline in Bitcoin’s price. Last week, Bitcoin experienced a downturn of over 5%, influenced by a strengthening U.S. dollar and escalating tensions between Iran and Israel. 

This geopolitical and economic uncertainty prompted investors to transfer funds from higher-risk assets, such as stocks and cryptocurrencies, to traditionally safer investments like gold. At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s price stands at approximately $66,500, reflecting an uptick of nearly 3% within the last 24 hours. Despite this recent surge, the weekly analysis reveals a downward trend for Bitcoin, with a decrease of roughly 8%.

According to data from IntoTheBlock, the netflow indicator, which monitors the movement of funds, shows heightened sensitivity to the activity within wallets associated with spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) listed in the U.S. Therefore, traders should pay close attention to the inflow and outflow of ETF-related funds, particularly on Monday, as these movements could be indicative of market trends.


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