Arthur Hayes said Bitcoin could reach $1 million by 2030 if a debt-fueled artificial intelligence infrastructure boom eventually unravels. The Maelstrom chief investment officer sees late 2027 or early 2028 as a potential turning point, with an AI credit downturn potentially setting up Bitcoin’s strongest rally through a wave of new financial-system liquidity.
ARTHUR HAYES SEES BITCOIN AT $1 MILLION BY 2030
Maelstrom CIO Arthur Hayes predicts Bitcoin could reach $1 million by 2030, with its strongest rally in late 2027 or early 2028.
His thesis: an AI infrastructure bubble bursts as data-center revenues fail to justify massive…
— *Walter Bloomberg (@DeItaone) September 30, 2026
Hayes argues that data centers, chips and computing infrastructure are being financed with large amounts of debt that could become vulnerable if revenues fail to justify the investment. In his scenario, losses could spread to lenders and other financial institutions, prompting governments and central banks to respond with monetary support, while the resulting liquidity expansion could benefit scarce assets such as Bitcoin.
The $1 million level remains Hayes’ long-term scenario rather than a guaranteed outcome. The key development to watch is whether AI infrastructure spending slows enough to expose stress in the credit behind the buildout, followed by the kind of large-scale policy response Hayes expects would redirect capital toward crypto markets.
Source: Walter Bloomberg.
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