TL;DR
- XRP trades around $1.8 after a July peak, staying below the 14-day and 30-day EMAs as lower highs and lows persist.
- Volume rises in a controlled way on declines, pointing to systematic distribution, while the lack of high-volume reversal candles shows buyers remain cautious.
- The $1.75 to $1.80 band is pivotal; a daily close below it targets $1.60 to $1.62, while $1.95 to $2.00 and $2.50 cap any meaningful recovery.
XRP is still trading around $1.8 and the tape remains heavy, with sellers dictating pace as price hovers just above a make-or-break support band. Since the July peak, the market has printed a steady sequence of lower highs and lower lows, and every bounce has looked more like relief than recovery. The chart continues to sit below the 14-day and 30-day EMAs, both sloping down and converging, reinforcing supply overhead. The downtrend has become the operating environment, leaving participants focused less on upside catalysts and more on whether support can hold through the next sessions.
Structure, volume, and the levels that matter next
Price structure is confirming ongoing weakness. XRP continues to trade below the EMA 14 and EMA 30, a classic bearish signal across short and medium horizons. Both averages are tilting lower and compressing toward each other, which typically means rallies are meeting supply quickly. Repeated attempts to lift have stalled, and the market has not produced a convincing higher high to challenge the trend. Upside probes are being sold rather than sustained, keeping attention on discipline, position sizing, and the integrity of nearby support. That posture signals buyers are cautious and sellers control the tape.
Volume behavior adds the second layer of confirmation. Down moves have arrived with steady, controlled increases in activity, not a single capitulation spike, which points to distribution executed with intent. At the same time, the market has not printed strong, high-volume bullish reversal candles near recent lows, implying buyers remain hesitant to step in aggressively. This combination keeps the probability of a clean trend reversal low in the near term. Systematic selling is replacing panic, but it is still selling, and that nuance matters for timing entries and risk controls as price tests key zones.
The immediate decision point is the $1.75 to $1.80 support zone, where XRP is currently parked. A daily close below that band would likely accelerate downside pressure toward $1.60 to $1.62, with $1.40 flagged as the final major medium-term support. On the upside, $1.95 to $2.00 is the first meaningful resistance cluster, reinforced by the 30-day EMA, and a decisive close above $2.50 would be needed to invalidate the bearish structure. Until resistance is reclaimed, downside breaks remain the path of least friction, keeping the bias negative. Stabilization is tentative, and rebounds still look corrective.
