Renowned cryptocurrency analyst PlanC has shaken the crypto sector by stating that Bitcoin’s fair value currently sits around $101,000. Through a post on X, the expert claimed that traditional methodologies used by most analysts, such as OLS regression or quantile linear regression, contain statistical flaws that distort the true price of the pioneer cryptocurrency.
The significance of this adjustment lies in identifying a “decay” effect at the median level (50th quantile) of the pricing model. According to PlanC, while other models suggest values between $118,000 and $130,000, the application of logarithmic or hyperbolic decay functions offers a more faithful reflection of the current market reality. This technical approach suggests that Bitcoin might be undervalued under a more rigorous statistical lens.
In the coming days, the market will monitor whether Bitcoin’s market price converges toward this new six-figure fair value. Validation of this model by other analysts could increase buying pressure, although PlanC warns that more optimistic projections above $118,000 might be based on incorrect assumptions.
Source:https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/2031078330842181938
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