A report from blockchain analyst DeFi Oasis reveals that Polymarket profits are massively concentrated: only 0.04% of addresses captured 70% of the total benefits, totaling $3.7 billion. Out of 1.7 million users, approximately 70% recorded losses, showing that the platform operates under a dynamic where a few winners absorb nearly all the capital.
在超过 170 万个 Polymarket 全体交易地址中,获得已实现盈利的地址占比接近 30%;反过来说,~70% 的交易地址已实现亏损
— defioasis.eth (@defioasis) December 29, 2025
一个更为扎心的现实是,不到 0.04% 的地址获得了超过 70% 的总已实现盈利,这些顶级地址累计已实现盈利高达 37 亿美元
绝大多数能够实现盈利的交易地址的盈利区间是 0 – 1,000… pic.twitter.com/jAj3SXsxVO
This profitability gap reflects a structure similar to traditional financial markets, where sophisticated algorithms and professional traders extract value from retail participants. While 668 addresses earned more than one million dollars, most users with positive results saw modest returns between $0 and $1,000, proving that large-scale success remains an exception for the elite.
The next step is to observe how the entry of institutions like Intercontinental Exchange and Google Finance influences this distribution. With monthly volume already exceeding $13 billion, the market will monitor whether CFTC regulation and competition from platforms like Kalshi manage to democratize Polymarket profits or if the gap between whales and retail will continue to widen.
Source: https://x.com/defioasis/status/2005591714057297973
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