Market sentiment is strongly leaning toward the expectation of a possible Fed rate cut in December. There was uncertainty just two weeks ago regarding the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) decision, but recent comments from its governors, along with a slowdown in the labor market, have shifted the outlook. Fed Governor Christopher Waller hinted at his support for a reduction, stating that “there are no signs of a recovery,” a stance backed by other officials like John Williams.
This shift in the landscape comes after delayed labor data showed slow job growth and a rise in unemployment to 4.4%. If the Fed holds rates unchanged, Bitcoin (BTC) could consolidate in the $60K–$80K range through year-end. However, analysts also point out that stablecoin reserves have hit new highs, a sign that liquidity is ready to be injected into the market, just as occurred during major BTC rallies in 2025.
The key event to clarify the outlook is the FOMC meeting, scheduled for December 9–10. A decisive action by the Fed could trigger a rally or intensify stagnation. While the pioneer crypto could consolidate between $90,000 and $120,000 if the Fed injects liquidity next year, BTC’s recent monthly close below the 10-month moving average is a bearish signal that underscores the necessary caution in the market.
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-december
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